20 Data-Backed Facts To Use During Your Fantasy Football Draft

Prime-age breakouts, volume monsters, late-round steals- everything you need for 2025

  • Nico Collins was on pace for 2,000+ yards and 300+ points before injury—legit WR1 contender.

  • Jakobi Meyers averaged 9+ targets/game from Weeks 3–18—only 13 WRs hit that mark, and 9 finished Top 12.

  • Courtland Sutton closed 2024 with 18.0 PPG, 9+ targets in 8 of his final 10 games—sneaky WR1 production.

  • Puka Nacua averaged 19.8 PPG post-injury (Weeks 8–17)—only Ja’Marr Chase was better.

  • Rashee Rice was a WR1 in 44% of his last 9 games and WR2+ in 88%—top-end consistency.

đź‘‹ Quick break before we continue:

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Now—back to the content 👇

  • Josh Downs averaged 15.8 PPG and 8+ targets when healthy (Weeks 4–11)—Colts WR1 in PPR.

  • Keon Coleman posted 14.5 and 15.5 PPG in his only two fully healthy games—breakout signs were real.

  • Hollywood Brown saw 7.5 targets/game on just 34% of snaps last year—KC sleeper with major upside.

  • Cedric Tillman averaged 18.6 PPG over 4 full games—elite usage with WR8 production pace.

  • Jerry Jeudy was one of only 7 WRs to average 10+ targets/game in the back half of 2024—elite volume.

  • Tee Higgins posted 21.5 PPG from Weeks 5–17—only teammate Ja’Marr Chase was better.

  • Chris Godwin averaged 19.7 PPG and 9+ targets before injury—WR4-level pace.

  • WRs in their prime (ages 24–27) and RBs aged 21–24 offer the highest breakout potential—draft accordingly.

  • De’Von Achane averaged 22.6 PPG with Tua—led all RBs including CMC, Barkley, and Gibbs.

  • Chase Brown ranked RB3 over Weeks 9–17 with a full workload—20.6 PPG on 85%+ snaps.

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  • Tyjae Spears dropped 20.7 PPG in the fantasy playoffs—RB1 output in all 3 games with real usage.

  • Ray Davis is getting first-team reps and posted 18.2 & 14.6 FPts as a spot starter—Bills RB1 watchlist.

  • Dylan Sampson is a 20-year-old upside dart throw in CLE—sleeper appeal in a wide-open backfield.

  • Jonathan Taylor has been RB12 or better in 4 of 5 seasons—even his "bad year" was RB18.

  • Kenneth Walker averaged 22.3 PPG in the first 7 weeks last season—only Derrick Henry was better.

That’s all for now—see you tomorrow or inside the Discord server.
– Joe 🫡