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- 20 Data-Backed Facts To Use During Your Fantasy Football Draft
20 Data-Backed Facts To Use During Your Fantasy Football Draft
Prime-age breakouts, volume monsters, late-round steals- everything you need for 2025
Nico Collins was on pace for 2,000+ yards and 300+ points before injury—legit WR1 contender.
Jakobi Meyers averaged 9+ targets/game from Weeks 3–18—only 13 WRs hit that mark, and 9 finished Top 12.
Courtland Sutton closed 2024 with 18.0 PPG, 9+ targets in 8 of his final 10 games—sneaky WR1 production.
Puka Nacua averaged 19.8 PPG post-injury (Weeks 8–17)—only Ja’Marr Chase was better.
Rashee Rice was a WR1 in 44% of his last 9 games and WR2+ in 88%—top-end consistency.
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Josh Downs averaged 15.8 PPG and 8+ targets when healthy (Weeks 4–11)—Colts WR1 in PPR.
Keon Coleman posted 14.5 and 15.5 PPG in his only two fully healthy games—breakout signs were real.
Hollywood Brown saw 7.5 targets/game on just 34% of snaps last year—KC sleeper with major upside.
Cedric Tillman averaged 18.6 PPG over 4 full games—elite usage with WR8 production pace.
Jerry Jeudy was one of only 7 WRs to average 10+ targets/game in the back half of 2024—elite volume.
Tee Higgins posted 21.5 PPG from Weeks 5–17—only teammate Ja’Marr Chase was better.
Chris Godwin averaged 19.7 PPG and 9+ targets before injury—WR4-level pace.
WRs in their prime (ages 24–27) and RBs aged 21–24 offer the highest breakout potential—draft accordingly.
De’Von Achane averaged 22.6 PPG with Tua—led all RBs including CMC, Barkley, and Gibbs.
Chase Brown ranked RB3 over Weeks 9–17 with a full workload—20.6 PPG on 85%+ snaps.
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Tyjae Spears dropped 20.7 PPG in the fantasy playoffs—RB1 output in all 3 games with real usage.
Ray Davis is getting first-team reps and posted 18.2 & 14.6 FPts as a spot starter—Bills RB1 watchlist.
Dylan Sampson is a 20-year-old upside dart throw in CLE—sleeper appeal in a wide-open backfield.
Jonathan Taylor has been RB12 or better in 4 of 5 seasons—even his "bad year" was RB18.
Kenneth Walker averaged 22.3 PPG in the first 7 weeks last season—only Derrick Henry was better.
That’s all for now—see you tomorrow or inside the Discord server.
– Joe 🫡