6 Draft Picks With Almost Zero Risk

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💎 Drafting at the Floor = Championship Ceiling

These 6 Studs Are GUARANTEED Value Picks in 2025

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Alvin Kamara
In just 14 games last season, Kamara led all RBs in expected fantasy points and targets.
He also ranked 1st in receiving yards among RBs.
He’s never finished lower than RB15 in PPG over his 8-year career — and yet he's being drafted as RB16 in 2025.
This is a gift.

Malik Nabers
The single biggest indicator of WR success? Targets.
Nabers averaged over 11 targets/game as a rookie — more than Lamb, Chase, Jefferson, and Puka.
He finished WR6… with zero QB help.
That’s not his ceiling. That’s his floor.

Chuba Hubbard
In 2024, Hubbard quietly racked up a dream fantasy workload:

• RB4 in High-Value Touches (73)

• RB4 in Green Zone Touches (30)

• RB3 in Snap Share (77%)

• RB6 in Catches (46)

Now he enters 2025 as the unquestioned starter. And somehow, he’s being drafted as RB19.

Kyler Murray
Fantasy finishes (points per game):

• 2024: QB10

• 2023: Injured

• 2022: Injured

• 2021: QB11

• 2020: QB4

Even with the missed time, he always returns QB1 value — especially with elite rushing upside.
At QB10 ADP, the risk is already baked in. Time to buy.

Jakobi Meyers
From Weeks 3–18, Meyers averaged 9+ targets/game — a mark hit by just 13 WRs last season.
Nine of them finished Top 12.
He didn’t — thanks to bad QB play.
Now paired with Geno Smith, he's being drafted outside the Top 36 WRs.
Automatic value.

Travis Kelce
Yes, he’s 35. Yes, Rashee Rice is rising.
But from Weeks 8–17, Kelce still averaged 10+ targets/game — the best among all TEs.
And over the last 9 seasons, he’s finished Top 5 every time.
Drafted as TE7 in Round 6? Steal.